Probabilistic Risk Assessment and PSA Applications
·
Shutdown Fire PRA for the Westinghouse
AP600 Advanced Reactor
·
Performed independent peer reviews of
Level 1 IPEs for St. Lucie (PWR), Yonggwang (PWR), River Bend (BWR-6/Mark III)
and Brunswick
(BWR-4 Mark II).
·
Rebaselined the Level 1 IPE, completed a
streamlined Level 2 PRA, applied the results to prioritize MOVs (response to GL
89-10) and Common Cause Failure Analysis to prevent MOV failures at WNP-2
(BWR-5/Mk II)
·
Project manager for River Bend Level 2
PRA (BWR-6/MARK III).
·
Developed and applied a Master Plant
Logic Diagrams for River Bend (BWR-6/Mk III) and Indian Point 2 (PWR) to assist
in risk based management of plant configuration.
·
IREP team member for Level 1 PRA and
IPEM-CE methodology verification (Calvert Cliffs PWR)
·
Peer review team member for St. Lucie and
River Bend IPEs
·
Performed technical review of the Rovno
PSA (VVER-440)
Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) for Chemical Plants
·
QRA to support the engineering and
economic decision making process for a hydrazine handling operation at a
mid-west fuels additive manufacturing plant.
·
Developed a Hazard and Risk Management
Plan for an offshore oil production facility.
·
Developed and reviewed risk and
reliability analyses for more than twenty-eight chemical manufacturing and
process facilities in the Republic of China.
Aging Risk Assessment
·
Project Manager and technical director
for an aging risk assessment for a Japanese (Westinghouse-type) PWR.
·
Developed an updated component specific
aging rate data base
Human Reliability Assessment (HRA)
·
Performed HRA for the Calvert Cliffs
IREP, Calvert Cliffs Pressurized Thermal Shock (PTS) study and IPEM
·
Performed HRA studies for the DOE
sponsored Nuclear Plant Information System project for Calvert Cliffs
·
Used HRA for several Root Cause Analyses
where human error was an important causal factor.
Reliability Assurance (RAP)
·
Currently the Risk and Reliability lead
for a Department of Energy Nuclear Waste Vitrification Facility – Applying Risk
and Reliability techniques in throughout the design process to ensure that it
is optimal in terms of safety, performance and economics.
·
Recently Completed a RAM analysis to support the optimized design
and operation of a hydrogen production plant (11 million scfm/day)
·
Developed the algorithms and architecture
for the cost effectiveness module for EPRI’s Power Delivery Systems RCM
workstation
·
Authored the Reliability Assurance
Program Guidebook for IAEA to assure the Safe, Reliable and Economic operation
of the next generation of advanced light water reactors (ALWR’s).
·
Performed a Reliability, Availability and
Maintainability (RAM) study for a Korean C-E System 80+, to predict SCRAM,
forced and planned outage rates and develop a prioritized list of design
improvement items, and list of candidate critical SSCs for RCM.
·
Developed a company-wide Availability
Improvement Plan (AIP) for a major U.S Utility
·
Led company and industry (EPRI)
development of the “GO” methodology and for RAM analysis
·
Evaluated the impact of PWR and BWR
issues within the context of both ISAP and AIP.
Safety Analysis
·
More than seventeen years working for the
Baltimore Gas and Electric Company:
“The
Development of a Reliability Assurance Programme (RAP) Guidebook for Advanced
Light Water Reactors”, B. O. Cho (IAEA), PSA-99 Conference,
August 1999, Washington DC.
“Elements of an Approach to
Performance-Based Regulatory Oversight”, NUREG/CR-5392, R.W.
Youngblood, et al., January 1999
“Aging Risk Assessment Performed for a
Two-Loop Westinghouse Plant: Part I - The Methods and Approach”, et al.,
PSAM 4, NYC, 9/98,
“Aging Risk Assessment Performed for a Two-Loop Westinghouse Plant: Part II - Insights
and Findings”, et al., PSAM 4, NYC, 9/98,
“The Practical Implications of Using Quantitative Importance
Measures to Guide Risk Based Decision Making Processes”,
Lichung T. Pong. PSAM 4, NYC, 9/98
“Reliability Assurance Guidelines for Advanced Light Water Reactors”,
(Final Draft 1/98), IAEA-TECDOC-XXX (number not yet assigned)
"Understanding the Risk Significance
of Technical Specifications", Lichung T. Pong, 1996,
Proceedings of the Joint ASME/JSME ICONE-4 International Conference on Nuclear
Engineering, New Orleans,
March 1996
"Risk Based prioritization of Motor
Operated Valves at the Washington Nuclear Plant 2",
L.T. Pong, ANS International Topical Meeting, Seattle, September 1995
"Common Cause Failure of Motor
Operated Valves at the Washington Nuclear Plant 2",
L.T. Pong, ANS International Topical Meeting, Seattle, September 1995
"Application of the Master Plant
Logic Diagram (MPLD) for Risk Based Nuclear Plant Configuration
Management", Jerry K. Barrett, Ron G. Stewart,
Proceedings, ANS Human Factors Topical Meeting, Philadelphia, June, 1995
"Shut-Down Risk Management at the
River Bend Station",
J.L. Burton, J.J. Lynch, LIS-Trends Conference, Clearwater FL,
November 1991.
"The Role of Risk Assessment and
Safety Analysis in Integrated Safety Assessments",
Thomas E. Wierman ANS International Topical Meeting, The Safety, Status and
Future of Non‑commercial Reactors and Irradiation Facilities, Boise, Idaho,
October, 1990.
“Reliability Engineering Methodologies
and their Role as Design Integration Tools”, Dave Buden.
Walt Sullivan and David Satterwhite, Aerospace Conference, Los Angeles 1990.
"Risk Assessment Handbook",
(coauthor), EG&G, SSRE-9300, Sept. 1990.
"RAM Methodology Selection",
Thomas E. Wierman 17th INTER‑RAM Conference for the Electric Power
Industry Hershey, Pennsylvania, June, 1990.
"Savannah River Site Probabilistic
Risk Assessment - High Level Review", B. John Garrick,
Dennis C. Bley, Robert J. Budnitz, Helmut Filacchione, Karl N. Fleming, Final
DOE Report, February 1990.
"A Model‑based Approach to on‑line
Process Disturbance Management, The Models".
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 28 (1990) pp. 265 ‑ 305, I.S.
Kim, M. Modarres.
"A Model‑based Approach to On‑line
Process Disturbance Management, The Application".
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 29, (1990) pp. 185 ‑239, I.S. Kim, M. Modarres.
"Toward the Practical Use of Expert
System Technique for Process Disturbance Management".
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 28, (1990) pp. 307 ‑ 317, I.S. Kim, M. Modarres.
"IDCOR Task Report: IPE Methodology
Verification for Combustion Engineering Plants".
Atomic Industrial Forum/IDCOR, 1988
"A Knowledge Based Approach to Root
Cause Failure Analysis", Su Chen, Modarres and
Danner, EPRI AI Conference, May, 1989, Orlando,
Florida.
"Development of a Root Cause
Analysis Workstation and its Application",
M. A. Danner, M. Modarres, D. Chung, 15th INTER‑Ram Conference, Portland OR,
June 1988.
"Development of a Root Cause
Analysis Workstation and its Application in Identifying the Cause of Reactor Scrams",
M. A. Danner, M. Modarres, D. Chung ASME/ANS Joint Meeting, Myrtle Beach SC,
April 1988.
"Integrated Approach Methodology: A
Handbook for Power Plant Assessment", M. L. Roush,
M. Modarres, D. Kreps, R. Pierce Sandia National Laboratories, Contractor
Report SAND87 ‑ 7138 Oct. 1987.
"Probabilistic Risk Assessment: A
Look at the Role of Artificial Intelligence",
J. Wang, M. Modarres, Nuclear Engineering and Design.
"GOALTRES: An Expert System for
Fault Detection and Analysis", D. Chung, M.
Modarres, Reliability Engineering and System Safety.
"The Use of Probabilistic Techniques
to Assess Reactor Coolant Pump Motor Failure Rates",
R. A. Buttner, ANS/ENS International Conference on Reactor Operations, Chicago, August 1987.
"IPE Methodology Test Application
for Combustion Engineering Plants - IDCOR Individual Plant Examination for
Calvert Cliffs" IDCOR Task, et al. 1987.
"Performing a Plant Specific PRA by
Hand ‑ a Practical Reality",
M. Modarres, 1987 INTER‑RAM Conference, Toronto, May 1987.
"The Routine Use of PRA in the
Evaluation of Nuclear Plant Modifications",
1986 Joint ANS/ASME Nuclear Power Conference Philadelphia, July 1986.
"Improving the Performance of Critical
Plant Components ‑ an Analytical Approach",
1986 INTER‑RAM Conference for the Electric Power Industry, Syracuse, June 1986.
"The Integrated Approach Methodology
for Operator Information Evaluation", Mohammed
Modarres, R. Pearce, K. Stroube 1986 ANS/ENS Topical Conference on Human
Factors Knoxville, April 1986.
"An Integral Approach to Analysis of
Potential Plant Improvements", Mohammed Modarres,
Marvin Roush, R. Pearce, American Power Conference Chicago, April 1986.
"Equivalent Availability Analysis as
an Integral part of a Nuclear Plant Productivity Improvement Program",
ASME Winter Annual Meeting Miami Beach, November 1985.
"Application of an LWR Operator
Information Systems Analysis to the Calvert Cliffs Nuclear Power Plant ‑
Unit 1" (ALO ‑ 1023), Marvin Roush, Joseph Braun,
et al.
"Use of a Plant Level Logic Model
for Quantitative Assessment of some Experienced Systems Interaction",
B. B. Chu, D. C. Rees, L. J. Kripps, Melissa Bradley, 1985 ASME Winter Annual
Meeting Miami Beach, November 1985.
"Application of Goal Trees for
Nuclear Power Plant Hardware Protection",
Mohammed Modarres, Marvin Roush, 8th International Conference on Structural
Mechanics in Reactor Technology Brussels,
Belgium, August
1985.
"Use of the Goal Tree Methodology to
Evaluate Institutional Practices and their Effect on Power Plant Hardware
Performance", Marvin Roush, Mohammed Modarres,
presented at the 1985 INTER‑RAM Conference, Baltimore, April 1985.
"Using 'GO' to Routinely Evaluate
the Risk Significance of Nuclear Plant System Inter‑actions",
Presented at the 1985 INTER‑RAM Conference, Baltimore, April 1985.
"Application of Goal Trees in
Reliability Allocation for Systems and Components of Nuclear Power
Plants", Mohammed Modarres, Marvin Roush, Presented at
the 1985 INTER‑RAM Conference, Baltimore,
April 1985.
"Application of Goal Trees to
Evaluation of the Impact of Information upon Plant Availability",
Marvin L. Roush, Mohammed Modarres, International ANS/ENS Topical Meeting,
Probabilistic Safety Methods & Applications, San Francisco, February 1985.
"PRA ‑ A Pragmatic Tool for
Utility Risk Management?", Int’l ANS/ENS Topical
Meeting, Probabilistic Safety Methods and Applications, San Francisco, February 1985.
"Integrated Economic Risk Management
in a Nuclear Power Plant", Mohammed Modarres,
Society for Risk Analysis, Annual Meeting in Knoxville, October, 1984.
"Selection of Availability Analysis
Techniques", 1984 Reliability Conference for the
Utility Industry, Las Vegas,
Nevada, April 1984.
"Nuclear Plant Event
Evaluation", Melissa Bradley, 1984 Reliability
Conference for the Utility Industry, Las
Vegas, Nevada, April
1984.
"A Hierarchal Goal Tree Structure
for Containment Integrity", Marvin L. Roush,
Mohammed Modarres, Second Workshop on Containment Integrity ‑ 1984.
